“Nobody has any idea how this election is going to go — not a pollster, not a candidate, not a political consultant,” veteran political guru Dick Morris proclaimed on the “Hannity and Colmes” Fox news show Monday night.The former top Clinton adviser and pollster insists that it’s impossible to conduct accurate polls because of the vast changes in the electorate.
“There are 310 million Americans, and 220 million of them are of voting age,” Morris said. “120 million of the 220 voted in 2004, so 100 million didn't. Basically, about 30 million of that hundred million are probably going to vote — we have no idea — it might be 40 or 50, it might be 10 or 20, but some portion will and some portion won't.
“Because we've never had a turnout in modern times of more than 120 million, we have no idea how to model it. So you don't know who those new voters are. And in a race in which one candidate is very attractive to minority voters and younger voters, and the other candidate is much more attractive to white voters and middle-aged and older voters, you just have no way to model this.
“Why do you think that it is this close at this late hour and at this point in the race?” Hannity said.
Morris responded: “I don't think Obama's closed the sale. If you look at what's going on in the Senate and House races throughout the country, Obama should be 20 points ahead right now. This should be 1984 all over again or 1972 or 1964. This should be a massacre, but the polling, to whatever extent you can believe it, suggests that it's not. I think he basically hasn't closed the deal.”
Meanwhile, the other controversial figure of the Right—Carl Rove—is predicting an Obama blow-out today.
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