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Wednesday, March 26, 2008

28% OF CLINTON SUPPORTERS WILL VOTE MCCAIN IF BARACK NOMINEE

More than a quarter of Hillary Clinton supporters—28%--will vote for John McCain in the general election if Barack Obama is the nominee, Gallup has found in a new poll released March 26, 2008.

This may be of some interest to the super-delegates, who are already wrestling with the idea of how to chose between two candidates who remain deadlocked in the polls, who are fairly close in pledged delegate count, and who would be virtually tied in the popular vote but for the Michigan and Florida primary results being thrown out by the DNC.
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Many are raising questions about Obama’s electability in the wake of the Reverend Wright scandal, the revelation that yet another Obama spiritual advisor, the Reverend Meeks, professes racist and anti-American views (see here), and in view of the emergence of the Obama campaign as one of the dirtiest presidential campaigns in history (See here, here and here) thereby undermining Obama’s original appeal as the unifying voice of transcendent hope who would not practice the “old politics”.

The latest poll results in Pennsylvania provide a vivid illustration of the remarkable shift in how Obama is now being perceived.

Not only is Clinton leading Obama by as much as 26 points according to one poll, the breakdown is even more remarkable.

Although Obama continues to lead among minority voters (76%), Clinton now leads among Pennsylvania women (57% to 29%), whites (57% to 29%), ages 55 and older (55% to 29%), union member households (67% to 26%), and Born Again Christians (45% to 38%). She also leads among Catholics (26 points) and Protestants (23 points). Obama has the clear edge only among non-whites (76% to 12%). Obama and Clinton are tied or virtually tied (within sampling error) among younger, college-educated, and male voters. (Source: Politically Uncorrected blog, Franklin & Marshall.)

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