Rasmussen Daily Gives Clinton 2 point National Lead Today
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The Associated Press today, along with other MS media outlets, are reporting the results of a Pew Research Center poll that (purportedly) shows “Obama has weathered the controversy over provocative sermons by his longtime pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright”, by (purportedly) showing that “Barack Obama leads Hillary Rodham Clinton, 49 percent to 39 percent nationally.” Obama with a 10 point national lead? We don't think so.
The Associated Press today, along with other MS media outlets, are reporting the results of a Pew Research Center poll that (purportedly) shows “Obama has weathered the controversy over provocative sermons by his longtime pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright”, by (purportedly) showing that “Barack Obama leads Hillary Rodham Clinton, 49 percent to 39 percent nationally.” Obama with a 10 point national lead? We don't think so.
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These results are HIGHLY suspect for three reasons:
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First, according the Associated press article, the Pew Center results “have changed little from late February”—in dramatic contrast with virtually every other national poll that has bounced between Obama and Clinton in the last 30 days, and which now has Obama and Clinton tied, or very close.
First, according the Associated press article, the Pew Center results “have changed little from late February”—in dramatic contrast with virtually every other national poll that has bounced between Obama and Clinton in the last 30 days, and which now has Obama and Clinton tied, or very close.
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Second, how could this poll show that Obama has, so to speak, “recovered” from the Wright affair, when it never showed his popularity suffering from it in the first instance? (Note also the Pew poll concluded on March 22, 2007.)
Second, how could this poll show that Obama has, so to speak, “recovered” from the Wright affair, when it never showed his popularity suffering from it in the first instance? (Note also the Pew poll concluded on March 22, 2007.)
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Third, this poll contradicts every other national poll, as expressed by the Real Clear Politics National Average of 2.9% in Obama’s favor (factoring in the anomalous Pew Research Poll results, and amounting to a virtual tie), and a Rasmussen Daily (March 27) daily tracking result finding Clinton leads Obama today, 46% to 44%. (See here and here.)
Third, this poll contradicts every other national poll, as expressed by the Real Clear Politics National Average of 2.9% in Obama’s favor (factoring in the anomalous Pew Research Poll results, and amounting to a virtual tie), and a Rasmussen Daily (March 27) daily tracking result finding Clinton leads Obama today, 46% to 44%. (See here and here.)
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NOTE: In addition to the Rasmussen Daily (showing Clinton +2), the Fox News poll shows Clinton +2, and the NBC/WSJ poll shows a “tie”.
NOTE: In addition to the Rasmussen Daily (showing Clinton +2), the Fox News poll shows Clinton +2, and the NBC/WSJ poll shows a “tie”.
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Our take: The best reason to assume a Clinton victory is the Main Stream Media’s serial, incorrect, predictions of Hillary Clinton’s demise, and its backward arching efforts to consistently portray the Democratic Primary contest in Obama’s favor, while casting Hillary as the heavy. This, even though Team Obama has run a far more personal, dirtier campaign than any in recent memory.
Our take: The best reason to assume a Clinton victory is the Main Stream Media’s serial, incorrect, predictions of Hillary Clinton’s demise, and its backward arching efforts to consistently portray the Democratic Primary contest in Obama’s favor, while casting Hillary as the heavy. This, even though Team Obama has run a far more personal, dirtier campaign than any in recent memory.
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