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Tuesday, May 6, 2008

DRUDGE REPORT VS BLOGONAUT ON THE NORTH CAROLINA RESULT

The unreliable (in these matters) Drudge Report has a post citing “Hillary Clinton's inner circle” that Drudge claims predicts a “15-point loss” for Clinton in the North Carolina primary.

We have predicted a much closer contest there, giving Hillary an unexpected victory by 2 points.

All of this depends on black voter turnout. If it is more than 30%, Obama will most likely carry the state. If less than that, Clinton will most likely stage an upset victory.

Initial reports are of a lower than expected turnout, but we will see.

For immediate voter turn out numbers by county in North Carolina as soon as they are available click here.

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