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Monday, April 21, 2008

OBAMA DOES NOT EXPECT TO WIN PENNSYLVANIA PRIMARY

[The Herald-AP]

In the first indication that Team Obama’s internal Pennsylvania polling is predicting a Hillary Clinton victory in the Keystone State, Obama is now telling supporters that he does not expect to win.

"I'm not predicting a win," he told Pittsburgh radio station KDKA. "I'm predicting it's going to be close and that we are going to do a lot better than people expect."

Some experts have predicted that Hillary Clinton will need to win Pennsylvania—whose Democratic primary election is tomorrow—by double digits to remain viable as a candidate, including the ability to raise the necessary campaign funds.

If Clinton does pull off a double digit victory, it will be all the more amazing for Obama’s record television advertising spending of $2 million per week in the Keystone State.

As has widely been reported, Obama has spent an estimated ten million dollars to defeat Clinton in Pennsylvania, and spent six days touring the state in a bus tour. Obama has made over 150 campaign appearances in Pennsylvania, and a resounding loss with hurt the candidate from Illinois badly precisely because he decided to pull out all of the stops and go for the knock-out blow in Pennsylvania, outspending Clinton by a ratio of 5-to-1.

If Obama cannot win a Midwestern swing state primary with unlimited financial resources and 30 days to focus exclusively on that state, how can he expect to win the general election in November? (At least, that will be Clinton’s argument, should she win in Pennsylvania tomarrow.)


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