OUR PREDICTION FOR THE PENNSYLVANIA PRIMARY:
We will make this short and sweet: We have been predicting a double digit win by Hillary Clinton in the Pennsylvania primary for weeks.
We are predicting she will run away with this race late tonight when all the returns are in by 14-16 points.
Why?
Four recent polls show HRC with a double digit lead. HRC’s internal polling showed an 11 point lead yesterday. Undecideds were about 10% yesterday, and that block has broken to HRC so far in this primary and in the last 3 she has won.
What could upset the applecart?
Several hundred thousand new voters registered by Barack Obama for one. High inner-city turnout for another.
However, we stand by our prediction.
Praise or ridicule is now being accepted in the comments.
We are predicting she will run away with this race late tonight when all the returns are in by 14-16 points.
Why?
Four recent polls show HRC with a double digit lead. HRC’s internal polling showed an 11 point lead yesterday. Undecideds were about 10% yesterday, and that block has broken to HRC so far in this primary and in the last 3 she has won.
What could upset the applecart?
Several hundred thousand new voters registered by Barack Obama for one. High inner-city turnout for another.
However, we stand by our prediction.
Praise or ridicule is now being accepted in the comments.
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***BREAKING NEWS UPDATE (and reassuring to Blogonaut’s prediction of a 14 to 16 point Clinton victory today) American Research Group, Inc. just released its April 21, 2008 Pennsylvania poll results: Clinton 56%, Obama 40%--a 16 point lead.Moreover, these results show a 3 point increase from 4/19/08, demonstrating a clear trend in Clinton’s favor—meaning a Clinton victory of 19 points is not out of the question.
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