[SurveyUSA]A recent Pennsylvania tracking poll conducted by SurveyUSA on April 14 (released yesterday) concludes that:
“In a Democratic Primary in Pennsylvania today, 04/15/08, one week to the vote, Hillary Clinton remains comfortably atop Barack Obama, 54% to 40%...”
1,600 state of PA adults were interviewed 04/12/08 through 04/14/08. Of them, 1,401 were registered to vote. Of them, 638 were determined by SurveyUSA to be eligible Democrats likely to vote in the Democratic Primary on 04/22/08.
All interviews for this survey were conducted after Obama used the term "bitter." Approximately 60% of the interviews for this survey were conducted before the candidate "compassion" forum on 04/13/08, 40% were conducted after. Clinton's support was strongest on the third day of the three-day field period, so the trend is in her favor.
In 3 previous releases, SurveyUSA has shown Clinton ahead by 19 points one month ago, 12 points two weeks ago, 18 points last week and, today, 14 points.
"SurveyUSA does not show the contest necessarily tightening, nor does SurveyUSA show the race necessarily "tight”", SurveyUSA said.
Read more details here.
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NOTE ABOUT THE DISPARITY IN PA POLLING: SurveyUSA was one of the few polls to call the California primary—where Clinton won by 10 points—correctly. The other polls had Obama leading 48 hours beforehand. Zogby had Obama leading by 13.
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