Zogby International published a new presidential tracking poll conducted in Pennsylvania that it hopes will make a splash. We infer this because Zoby’s press release actually uses an exclamation point, as if to say “stop the presses”.And it is startling news. In the face of two polls, including a recent SurveyUSA poll, showing Clinton leading in the Keystone State by double digits—Zogby’s new poll shows Clinton and Obama (and we quote):
“Deadlocked in Pennsylvania!”
Another reason to doubt the accuracy of this poll: 48 hours before the California primary on super-Tuesday Zogby had Obama winning by 10 points. But Obama lost to Clinton in California by 10 points—a 20 point spread. (Read, California Results Expose Bad Polling.)
On the other hand, SurveyUSA—who as of yesterday has Clinton leading Obama in Pennsylvania by 14 points—was one of the few pollsters to call the California primary election exactly right.
And then there is the fact that the Zogby poll was commissioned by NewsMax—a thinly disguised, anti-Clinton, Republican front tabloid.
Nevertheless, we leave you to draw your own conclusions.
Especially in view of Obama’s poor debate performance in Pennsylvania last night, we stand by our prediction of a double digit blow-out by Clinton in the Keystone State.
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